The market asking if Bukayo Saka will score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup saw its YES price climb sharply by 90.5 percentage points over the last 24 hours, moving from roughly 9.5% to a full 100% certainty on Polymarket as of July 19, 2026.
This dramatic repricing was accompanied by whale activity that supported the move. Over the same period, 53 unique whales contributed $3K in buy volume and $898 in sell volume, resulting in a net $2K inflow into YES contracts. The alignment between whale flow and the price move indicates strong buying interest behind the surge.
Overall 24-hour trading volume on this market reached $5K, contributing to a lifetime volume of $21K across 279 unique traders. The whale-driven buying and rapid price increase suggest a significant shift in market sentiment, pushing the probability to full consensus that Bukayo Saka will score at the tournament.
This combination of price action and whale flow points to increased confidence in the outcome, as reflected in the market moving from a low single-digit chance to virtual certainty within a day.
| Market | Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2380702 |
| 24h price change | +90.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 100.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 9.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 100.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $2K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $3K / $898 |
| Unique whales (24h) | 53 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $5K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 279 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-19. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.