The market for “Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?” saw a dramatic shift in sentiment on Polymarket, with the YES contract price tumbling 20.1 percentage points over the past 24 hours, from 23.5% down to 3.4% as of July 18.
This sharp decline in implied probability was accompanied by a divergence in whale activity, as large traders’ flows did not align with the price move. Despite the rapid drop in YES odds, whale trading failed to support this selloff, indicating that significant players were not driving the market lower.
The total volume for this market over the 24-hour period was $10K, reflecting moderate engagement amid the volatility. The disconnect between price and whale flow suggests differing interpretations of the event’s likelihood among retail traders and large stakeholders.
This divergence between whale behavior and price action highlights potential uncertainty or conflicting signals about the feasibility of a Trump-Netanyahu meeting by the specified date.
| Market | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2929856 |
| 24h price change | +20.1 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 3.4% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 23.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $10K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-18. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.