The Polymarket contract “Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?” saw a significant increase in its YES price, rising 21.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours from an estimated 33.0% to 54.5% as of July 17, 2026. This represents a major shift in market sentiment on the song’s prospects within a single day.
The price move was supported by whale flow, which aligned with the upward trajectory of the YES contract. This concordance between large trader activity and price action reinforces that the repricing was driven by substantial conviction rather than isolated retail bets. Polymarket recorded $10K in trading volume on this contract during the same period, indicating active engagement.
The jump above the 50% threshold marks a transition from the market viewing the BTS song as less likely to top the year’s charts to a majority-implied probability of success. The alignment of whale flow with this price surge suggests institutional or large-scale traders are backing the shift in odds.
This combined price and flow pattern indicates strong market consensus emerging in favor of “Swim” becoming 2026’s top song. The substantial repricing within 24 hours highlights how quickly sentiment can evolve on Polymarket when supported by whale participation.
| Market | Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2929174 |
| 24h price change | +21.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 54.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 33.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $10K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-17. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.