The market on whether Anthropic will extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19 saw its YES contract price rise 18.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours, climbing from 59.0% to 77.0%. This significant repricing reflects a marked shift in market sentiment around the likelihood of an extension.
Whale activity confirmed the price move, with large traders net buying YES contracts in tandem with the upward price trend. The $14K in volume traded in the last day supports a robust level of engagement for this question.
The alignment of whale flow and price suggests that informed or large-scale participants are backing the increased probability of an extension. This consensus among major players and the broader market indicates growing confidence in Anthropic’s decision to continue offering paid-plan access beyond the current period.
Overall, the combined price surge and whale buying point to a stronger market conviction that Claude Fable 5’s paid-plan access will be extended by the July 19 deadline, reflecting evolving expectations in the prediction market ecosystem.
| Market | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2898504 |
| 24h price change | +18.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 77.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 59.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $14K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-17. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.