The probability that the Detroit Tigers will have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season surged 46.5 percentage points in the past 24 hours, jumping from 1.00% to 47.4% on Polymarket. This dramatic repricing marks a significant shift in market sentiment toward the Tigers’ performance metric.
Whale activity tracked alongside this price movement, with large investors increasing their exposure to YES contracts. The alignment between whale flow and the tape suggests that influential traders have contributed to the rapid rise in odds rather than opposing it. Total volume traded over the past day reached $152K, reflecting strong market interest and liquidity in this question.
The scale of this move—nearly a half-point increase on a market that was previously priced close to zero—indicates a notable reevaluation of the Tigers’ prospects for leading in ABS success rate. The combination of heavy whale participation and a sharp price rise points to growing confidence in this outcome among informed market participants.
Overall, the concurrent price and flow dynamics highlight a market that has quickly shifted from near-impossibility to a near coin-flip chance for the Tigers to top this specific MLB metric in 2026.
| Market | Will the Detroit Tigers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2775250 |
| 24h price change | +46.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 47.4% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 1.00% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $152K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-16. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.