The market question “Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” saw its YES price surge by 26.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours, jumping from 58.5% to 84.5% on Polymarket. This represents a significant reassessment of the probability that the public sale will exceed the $30 million threshold.
Whale activity closely tracked this price move, with net flows of $51K into YES contracts during the same period. Whale buy volume totaled $111K, while sell volume was $60K, indicating a clear preference for building YES positions among the 124 unique whales participating.
The alignment of whale flows with the price increase suggests that large traders are reinforcing the market’s shift in confidence rather than pushing against it. This coordinated move from whales and the broader market underscores growing conviction around the Credible public sale surpassing $30 million in committed funds.
The rapid repricing combined with whale buying signals that market participants are increasingly confident in this outcome, reflecting a notable change in sentiment within a single day on Polymarket.
| Market | Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845812 |
| 24h price change | +26.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 84.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 58.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 84.5% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $51K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $111K / $60K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 124 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $121K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 350 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-16. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.