The Polymarket contract “Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?” saw its YES price climb sharply by 98.4 percentage points in the past 24 hours, rising from 1.6% to a full 100.0% on the Polymarket Breaking feed as of July 14, 2026. This dramatic repricing is accompanied by whale activity that aligns with the price action, with $21K net flow into YES positions over the same period.
Whales contributed $31K in buy volume against $10K in sell volume, reflecting a strong directional bias among 62 unique large traders. The total 24-hour volume for this market reached $39K, accounting for a significant portion of the lifetime market volume of $103K. Meanwhile, the Polydata on-chain mid price remains at 1.5%, indicating a notable divergence from the Polymarket Breaking price.
With 286 unique traders participating overall, this surge suggests a consensus shift towards the expectation that inflation will meet or fall below the 3.6% threshold in June. The coordinated whale buying confirms the repricing momentum, signaling robust conviction in this outcome within the Polymarket ecosystem. This combined price and flow pattern highlights a market rapidly adjusting to new information or sentiment regarding near-term inflation dynamics.
| Market | Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2491371 |
| 24h price change | +98.4 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 100.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 1.6% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 1.5% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $21K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $31K / $10K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 62 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $39K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 286 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-14. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.