The market question “Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?” saw its YES price climb 15.6 percentage points over 24 hours, rising from 50.5% to 66.0% on Polymarket. This significant repricing reflects a strong shift in market sentiment toward the inflation target being met.
Whale activity aligned with the price move, with 57 unique whales generating $8K in buy volume and $3K in sell volume, resulting in a net $6K inflow into YES contracts. This alignment between whale flow and price action reinforces the conviction behind the move rather than a speculative spike without backing.
The market’s 24-hour volume reached $12K, contributing to a lifetime volume of $150K from 563 unique traders, suggesting steady engagement around this inflation question. The combined surge in odds and whale buying pressure suggests growing confidence in inflation settling at the 3.8% level for June, marking this as a key indicator for economic expectations on Polymarket.
| Market | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2491373 |
| 24h price change | +15.6 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 66.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 50.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 46.7% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $6K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $8K / $3K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 57 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $12K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 563 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-14. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.