The Polymarket market “Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” saw its YES price surge 48.0 percentage points in the past 24 hours, rising from 34.5% to 82.5%. This sharp repricing reflects a significant shift in market sentiment on the likelihood that the public sale will surpass $30 million.
Whale activity aligned with the price move, as 76 unique large traders contributed to $37K in buy volume and $19K in sell volume, resulting in a net $18K inflow into YES contracts. This flow confirms the tape’s bullish adjustment rather than contradicting it.
Despite the Polymarket YES price sitting at 82.5%, Polydata’s on-chain overview price remains lower at 54.0%, indicating a divergence between the platform’s live market odds and the aggregated on-chain data midpoint. The total 24-hour volume on Polymarket for this contract was $34K, contributing to a lifetime market volume of $58K with 124 unique traders participating to date.
The combined price and whale flow data point to growing confidence among large traders that the Credible public sale will indeed exceed $30 million in committed funds. The strong alignment between price and whale buying activity suggests conviction behind the rapid odds increase.
| Market | Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845812 |
| 24h price change | +48.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 82.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 34.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 54.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $18K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $37K / $19K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 76 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $34K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 124 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-14. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.