The market on whether Tamas Sulyok will be out as President of Hungary by July 31 saw its YES contract climb sharply by 15.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours, rising from approximately 74.0% to 89.5%.
This repricing coincided with substantial whale activity aligned with the price move: net whale flow into YES contracts totaled $10K, supported by $23K in whale buy volume against $13K in sell volume. A total of 57 unique whales participated in this flow, signaling broad high-net-worth engagement.
Overall Polymarket trading volume for this market reached $21K in the last 24 hours, contributing to a lifetime market volume of $175K from 392 unique traders. The combined surge in price and whale buying suggests increased confidence or new information driving consensus toward the contract’s YES outcome.
The alignment of whale flow with the price move highlights coordinated buying pressure rather than a divergence between large players and the broader market. This cohesion reinforces the price shift as a meaningful update in market sentiment on Sulyok’s tenure ending by the end of July.
Such a significant jump in implied probability alongside targeted whale buying indicates the market is collectively adjusting its expectations sharply upward, reflecting evolving views on political developments in Hungary.
| Market | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2698250 |
| 24h price change | +15.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 89.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 74.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 87.5% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $10K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $23K / $13K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 57 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $21K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 392 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-14. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.