The market on whether Tamas Sulyok will be out as President of Hungary by July 31 saw its YES price tumble 17.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours, sliding from an estimated 91.0% to 74.0%, according to Polymarket Breaking data as of July 14, 2026.
Despite the drop in price, whale activity diverged from the market move. Whales net bought $12K into YES contracts, with $32K in buy volume and $20K in sell volume, across 64 unique whale traders. This contrasts with the overall price decline, signaling a complex dynamic between large traders and broader market sentiment.
The 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket reached $29K, contributing to a lifetime market volume of $167K and involving 383 unique traders. The mid-price on Polydata’s on-chain overview stood at 79.0%, slightly above the Polymarket Breaking YES price of 74.0%, indicating some price dispersion across data sources.
This divergence between whale flow and price movement suggests that while the general market is lowering the probability of Sulyok’s departure by the deadline, whales are accumulating positions on the YES side.
Overall, the combined price drop and whale buying point to a contested market environment with contrasting signals from retail and large-scale traders.
| Market | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2698250 |
| 24h price change | +17.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 74.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 91.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 79.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $12K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $32K / $20K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 64 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $29K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 383 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-14. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.