Polymarket’s contract on whether Hanwha Life Esports will win MSI 2026 jumped 44.5 percentage points in the past 24 hours, rising from 25.5% to 70.0%.
This dramatic repricing coincided with strong whale activity aligned with the price move. Whales bought $52K worth of YES contracts and sold $21K, resulting in a net $31K inflow into YES positions over the same period. A total of 86 unique whales participated in the trading, contributing to a 24-hour volume of $68K on the market.
Despite this sharp increase in the Polymarket YES price, the on-chain Polydata mid-price remains significantly lower at 34.5%, indicating some divergence between the Polymarket trading price and the broader on-chain consensus.
The lifetime volume for this market stands at $320K, with 588 unique traders having engaged since inception. The combined momentum of price and whale flows suggests growing conviction among large traders about Hanwha Life Esports’ chances at MSI 2026. This alignment between whale buying and price appreciation signals strong market interest driving the contract higher within the last day.
| Market | Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2555429 |
| 24h price change | +44.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 70.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 25.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 34.5% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $31K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $52K / $21K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 86 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $68K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 588 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-12. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.